Guatemala : Selected Issues and Analytical Notes.

This Selected Issues paper estimates both Guatemala's potential output and output gap using a wide range of econometric techniques. The analysis suggests that Guatemala's potential output growth is about 3.5 percent for the whole sample period and that the output gap is almost closed. Resu...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Institution som forfatter: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Serier:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ; No. 2013/248
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivelse
Summary:This Selected Issues paper estimates both Guatemala's potential output and output gap using a wide range of econometric techniques. The analysis suggests that Guatemala's potential output growth is about 3.5 percent for the whole sample period and that the output gap is almost closed. Results are highly robust among different methodologies. Among the methods used, several well-known time series filters and two different estimations of a state-space model are included. Additionally, a test for structural breaks in the series of potential GDP is presented. All methodologies conclude that the output gap at the end of 2012 is almost closed at -0.2 percent of potential GDP.
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Fysisk beskrivelse:1 online resource (39 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7685
Adgang:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students