Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals : Purgatory ... not Paradise /

We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associated with milder credit growth during the boom but, even though smaller than in more r...

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التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Magud, Nicolas
مؤلفون آخرون: Vesperoni, Esteban
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/061
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
الوصف
الملخص:We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associated with milder credit growth during the boom but, even though smaller than in more rigid regimes, it cannot shield the economy from a credit reversal. Furthermore, we observe what we dub as a recovery puzzle: credit growth in economies with more flexible exchange rate regimes remains tepid well after the capital flow reversal takes place. This results stress the complementarity of macro-prudential policies with the exchange rate regime. More flexible regimes could help smoothing the credit cycle through capital surchages and dynamic provisioning that build buffers to counteract the credit recovery puzzle. In contrast, more rigid exchange rate regimes would benefit the most from measures to contain excessive credit growth during booms, such as reserve requirements, loan-to-income ratios, and debt-to-income and debt-service-to-income limits.
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وصف مادي:1 online resource (30 pages)
التنسيق:Mode of access: Internet
تدمد:1018-5941
وصول:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students