From Natural Resource Boom to Sustainable Economic Growth : Lessons for Mongolia /

Some resource-rich developing countries are in the process of harnessing immense mining resources towards inclusive growth and prosperity. Nevertheless, tapping into natural resources could be challenging given the large front-loaded investment, volatile capital flows and exposure to global commodit...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Gupta, Pranav
Daljnji autori: Li, Grace, Yu, Jiangyan
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/090
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Sažetak:Some resource-rich developing countries are in the process of harnessing immense mining resources towards inclusive growth and prosperity. Nevertheless, tapping into natural resources could be challenging given the large front-loaded investment, volatile capital flows and exposure to global commodity markets. Public investment is needed to remove the often-large infrastructure gap and unlock the economic potential. However, too rapid fiscal outlays could push the economy to its limit of absorptive capacity and increase macro-financial vulnerabilities. This paper utilizes a structural model-based approach to analyze macroeconomic impacts of different public investment strategies on key fiscal and non-fiscal variables such as debt, consumption, sovereign wealth fund, and real exchange rates. We apply the model to Mongolia and draw policy recommendations from the analysis. We find that fiscal policy adjustment, particularly moderating infrastructure investment and optimizing investment efficiency is needed to maintain macroeconomic and external stability, as well as to boost the long-term sustainable growth for Mongolia.
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Opis:1 online resource (31 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pristup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students