Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh /

This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to GDP growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institut...

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Bibliografiska uppgifter
Huvudupphovsman: Medina, Leandro
Materialtyp: Tidskrift
Språk:English
Publicerad: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/110
Länkar:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivning
Sammanfattning:This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to GDP growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, such as those related to the pension system, the issuance of guarantees, the state-owned commercial banks, and the external borrowing and debt management strategy. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and exchange rates. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and the limited institutional capacity.
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Fysisk beskrivning:1 online resource (26 pages)
Materialtyp:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Tillgång:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students