Pricing Sovereign Debt in Resource-Rich Economies /

How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle fluctua...

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Bibliografiska uppgifter
Huvudupphovsman: McGregor, Thomas
Materialtyp: Tidskrift
Språk:English
Publicerad: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/240
Länkar:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivning
Sammanfattning:How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle fluctuations in interest-rate spreads in oil-exporting emerging market economies, particularly the countercyclicallity of interest rate spreads and oil prices. Higher risk-aversion, more impatient governments, larger oil shares and a stronger correlation between domestic output and oil price shocks all lead to stronger co-movements between risk premiums and the oil price.
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Fysisk beskrivning:1 online resource (30 pages)
Materialtyp:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Tillgång:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students