Forecasting the Nominal Brent Oil Price with VARs-One Model Fits All? /

We carry out an ex post assessment of popular models used to forecast oil prices and propose a host of alternative VAR models based on traditional global macroeconomic and oil market aggregates. While the exact specification of VAR models for nominal oil price prediction is still open to debate, the...

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Autor principal: Beckers, Benjamin
Altres autors: Beidas-Strom, Samya
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2015/251
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF