Thailand : Selected Issues.

This Selected Issues paper analyzes factors that could bring inflation back to target in Thailand. The paper estimates a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve with time varying parameters to gauge the quantitative role of (long-term) inflation trends, economic slack, and import price inflation in shap...

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Autor corporatiu: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Col·lecció:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ; No. 2017/137
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
Descripció
Sumari:This Selected Issues paper analyzes factors that could bring inflation back to target in Thailand. The paper estimates a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve with time varying parameters to gauge the quantitative role of (long-term) inflation trends, economic slack, and import price inflation in shaping inflation dynamics. The analysis reveals some important changes in Thailand's inflation dynamics. It suggests that the impact of lower import prices was a major factor behind the decline in headline inflation in 2015, with low oil prices the largest contributor to inflation dynamics. Monetary policy easing, within a broader expansionary policy mix, should help bring inflation back to target.
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Descripció física:1 online resource (22 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7685
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students