International Spillovers of Forward Guidance Shocks /

After 2007, countries that cut their policy interest rates close to zero turned, among other policies, to forward guidance. We estimate a two-country model of the U.S. and Canada to quantify how unexpected changes in U.S. forward guidance affected Canada. Expansionary U.S. forward guidance shocks, l...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Jones, Callum
Daljnji autori: Kulish, Mariano, Rees, Daniel
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2018.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2018/114
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Sažetak:After 2007, countries that cut their policy interest rates close to zero turned, among other policies, to forward guidance. We estimate a two-country model of the U.S. and Canada to quantify how unexpected changes in U.S. forward guidance affected Canada. Expansionary U.S. forward guidance shocks, like conventional policy shocks, are beggar-thy-neighbor and depress Canadian output, but by twice as much as conventional shocks. We find that the effect of U.S. forward guidance shocks on Canadian output, unlike conventional policy shocks, depends on the state of U.S. demand and can be five times smaller when U.S. demand is weak.
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Opis:1 online resource (43 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pristup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students