Systemic Risk Modeling : How Theory Can Meet Statistics /

We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire sales,...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Espinoza, Raphael
Daljnji autori: Segoviano, Miguel, Yan, Ji
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2020/054
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Sažetak:We propose a framework to link empirical models of systemic risk to theoretical network/ general equilibrium models used to understand the channels of transmission of systemic risk. The theoretical model allows for systemic risk due to interbank counterparty risk, common asset exposures/fire sales, and a 'Minsky" cycle of optimism. The empirical model uses stock market and CDS spreads data to estimate a multivariate density of equity returns and to compute the expected equity return for each bank, conditional on a bad macro-outcome. Theses 'cross-sectional" moments are used to re-calibrate the theoretical model and estimate the importance of the Minsky cycle of optimism in driving systemic risk.
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Opis:1 online resource (39 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pristup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students