The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts /
Using the post-WWII data of U.S. federal corporate income tax changes, within a Smooth Transition VAR, this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt-dependent: it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low. To explore the mechanisms that can dr...
| Päätekijä: | |
|---|---|
| Muut tekijät: | , |
| Aineistotyyppi: | Aikakauslehti |
| Kieli: | English |
| Julkaistu: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2020.
|
| Sarja: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2020/071 |
| Linkit: | Full text available on IMF |
| Yhteenveto: | Using the post-WWII data of U.S. federal corporate income tax changes, within a Smooth Transition VAR, this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt-dependent: it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low. To explore the mechanisms that can drive this fiscal state-dependent tax effect, the paper uses a DSGE model with regime-switching fiscal policy and finds that a capital income tax cut is stimulative to the extent that it is unlikely to result in a future fiscal adjustment. As government debt increases to a sufficiently high level, the probability of future fiscal adjustments starts rising, and the expansionary effects of a capital income tax cut can diminish substantially, whether the expected adjustments are through a policy reversal or a consumption tax increase. Also, a capital income tax cut need not always have large revenue feedback effects as suggested in the literature. |
|---|---|
| Huomautukset: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Ulkoasu: | 1 online resource (54 pages) |
| Aineistotyyppi: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Pääsy: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |