A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers : The Case of Poland and the Euro Area /

This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers. We parameterize the model through an extensive calibration process, and provide a...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Andrle, Michal
Autres auteurs: Garcia-Saltos, Roberto, Ho, Giang
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/186
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF
Description
Résumé:This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers. We parameterize the model through an extensive calibration process, and provide a wide range of model properties and evaluation exercises. Simulation results suggest a prominent role of foreign demand shocks (euro area and global) in driving Poland's output, inflation and interest rate dynamics, particularly in recent years. Our model also has the capability for medium-term conditional forecasting and policy analysis.
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Description matérielle:1 online resource (50 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accès:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students