A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers : The Case of Poland and the Euro Area /

This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers. We parameterize the model through an extensive calibration process, and provide a...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Andrle, Michal
Altri autori: Garcia-Saltos, Roberto, Ho, Giang
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/186
Soggetti:
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers. We parameterize the model through an extensive calibration process, and provide a wide range of model properties and evaluation exercises. Simulation results suggest a prominent role of foreign demand shocks (euro area and global) in driving Poland's output, inflation and interest rate dynamics, particularly in recent years. Our model also has the capability for medium-term conditional forecasting and policy analysis.
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Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (50 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students